July 16, 2014

Free NFL Prediction: 2014 New York Jets

The New York Jets have missed the playoffs for three seasons in a row. In New York, there is always plenty of pressure to succeed, and this Jets team is definitely starting to feel it. The Jets did improve from their 6-10 record in 2012 to go 8-8 last year. In a lot of ways, I believe you could say the Jets overachieved last season.

New York had a rookie quarterback who struggled through much of the year and a questionable real running game, and they were still able to win half their games. With some big offseason moves, the Jets expectations are much higher in 2014. Will Geno Smith continue to be the main guy under center or will Mike Vick take over? Can CJ2K regain his old form and become a star in the big city?

Rex Ryan’s teams always play hard nosed defense, but the offense is going to have to contribute a bit more this season. The AFC North isn’t as good as it used to be, so there is a bit of an opening here. Can the Jets take advantage?

2014 New York Jets Offense

New York starts with a nice base on the offensive end, because this team definitely has a good offensive line. Nick Mangold is the anchor for a line that does a tremendous job both in run blocking and pass protecting. Geno Smith should start the season under center for the Jets, but some believe Mike Vick will take over during the year. I’m not sure Vick is the answer at this point in his career, and I believe the Jets would be better off just trying to develop Smith. Smith threw only 12 touchdowns and 21 interceptions a year ago, so he clearly must be better. He did step into a difficult situation last year though, and he’ll have far more weapons around him this season.

Johnson won’t be an every down back for the Jets, but his explosive ability should keep the defense guessing. He isn’t the same runner he was three years ago, but this is still a guy who can break it at any time. Eric Decker should give Smith a very nice safety net on the outside. He will instantly become the Jets best receiver by a mile.

New York would be well-suited to try to do as much running the football as possible. They have a strong line, and they now have more explosive options in the backfield. Smith should improve, but he needs less pressure on him from a play calling standpoint.

2014 New York Jets Defense

New York’s defensive front seven was among the best in football last year. The Jets gave up only 88.2 yards per game on the ground, which was third best in the NFL. The secondary was questionable, but this defense was put into a bunch of bad spots because the offense turned the ball over so often and couldn’t put together any sustained drives. The Jets ranked 12th in the league in total defense, but they were probably a top ten defense based on ability.

The biggest question mark on this defense is the cornerback spot. Dee Milliner will start on one side, but the other starting spot is going to be an issue. Dimitri Patterson will likely get the first chance there. Calvin Pryor should be great at the safety spot, but this secondary is a bit of a concern.

The front seven is just tremendous. The Jets have a great mix of guys who are great at clogging the running lanes as well as guys who are great at getting after the passer. Muhammad Wilkerson has become one of the best defensive linemen in the game. David Harris has turned into a very good leader at the linebacker spot.

The Jets defense is a bit susceptible against the pass, but overall this unit looks very strong.

2014 New York Jets Schedule

Week 1- Oakland

Week 2- @Green Bay

Week 3- Chicago

Week 4- Detroit

Week 5- @San Diego

Week 6- Denver

Week 7- @New England

Week 8- Buffalo

Week 9- @Kansas City

Week 10- Pittsburgh

Week 11- BYE

Week 12- @Buffalo

Week 13- Miami

Week 14- @Minnesota

Week 15- @Tennessee

Week 16- New England

Week 17- @Miami

The Jets schedule is middle of the road. Three of their first four are winnable home games, but the road trip to Green Bay will be very tough.

2014 New York Jets Free Win Total Pick: Over 7

The Jets got to eight wins a year ago, and there is no doubt this year’s team is more talented on paper. Smith should be at least somewhat better, and there should be less pressure on him. The additions of Decker and Johnson were big. This defense has consistently been very good the last few years, and with an improved running game the defense should be on the field less. I like the over.

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