December 30, 2013

Capital One Bowl: Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Preview and Pick

The best bowl game on New Year’s Day is the game between the Wisconsin Badgers and the South Carolina Gamecocks. Wisconsin may have had their sights set higher as the Badgers had a six-game winning streak snapped in the regular-season finale and are stepping back after three straight trips to the Rose Bowl. The Gamecocks always have high expectations, but they will just be happy to have some of their best players back on the field and playing at 100 percent for this bowl game.

Capital One Bowl: Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Preview

The college football bowl odds for this game opened up with the Badgers listed as (-2) point favorites. South Carolina has an underdog looks tempting for the college football public as the majority of the wagers are coming in on the Gamecocks. The sports betting consensus shows that over 68 percent of the wagers coming in are hoping that South Carolina can win outright as an underdog.

The Badgers enter this game as a grind it out type of team that can run and stop the run. The Badgers gave up a little balance on offense in favor of a heavy running attack led by a pair of backs – Melvin Gordon (1,466) and James White (1,337) – that each eclipsed 1,300 yards and combined for 25 touchdowns on the ground. Wisconsin also excels at stopping the run, ranking second in the Big Ten behind conference champion Michigan State in rushing defense with an average of 101.3 yards allowed. The college football betting trends show that the Badgers can win this game. The Badgers are 9-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

For the Gamecocks much of the focus will be on defensive end Jadeveon Clowney who will be playing his last game before leaving for the NFL draft. The Gamecocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win against the spread. Clowney is a great player with a bright future but he cannot do ti alone.

Capital One Bowl: Wisconsin vs. South Carolina Pick

The Gamecocks offense likes to run the rock. Connor Shaw passed for 21 touchdowns and just one interception during the regular season and adds to the ground game as well, but that will come to a halt against the Badgers.

Wisconsin -2