December 30, 2013

Fiesta Bowl: Central Florida vs. Baylor Preview and Pick

The Central Florida Golden Knights have been one of the biggest surprises this season as they have become one of the better college football teams in the country. Their play this sure earned them a spot in the Fiesta Bowl on New Year’s Day against the Baylor Bears. The Bears are a high octane offensive team that remained undefeated for most of the season and will be looking to end the season on a high note as they try and beat the Knights in the Fiesta Bowl.

Fiesta Bowl: Central Florida vs. Baylor Preview

The college football bowl odds for this game opened up with the Bears listed as (-17) point favorites. This double digit spread is mainly due to the fact that the Bears have been dominating this season. The Knights are still not getting the respect that they feel they deserve as the public is lining up to back the Bears with over 68 percent of the money coming in is on the favorite. This line has slightly adjusted and can now be found at (-16.5) at some of the top rated online sportsbooks.

When it comes to handicapping a game involving the Bears, it is all about offense. Fifth-ranked Baylor brings the nation’s top attack (53.3 points per game) into this bowl game they have averaged 51 more yards than any other team and scored at least 59 points seven times. The Bears won’t have lightning-fast wide receiver Tevin Reese, who averaged 25 yards per catch and hauled in eight touchdowns, but they are very deep in this position. The latest college football betting trends reveal just how good this team is. The Bears are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

The Knights will need to play good defensive football. The Knights rank 13th nationally in points allowed (19.6) and are led defensively by linebacker Terrance Plummer, who has 96 tackles, eight tackles for loss, two sacks, two interceptions and six pass breakups. The Knights are 36-16-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and will be focused for this game.

Fiesta Bowl: Central Florida vs. Baylor Pick

The Knights will be hard pressed to beat Baylor, but they are better than most people think. The Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and they play close and have a shot to win late.

UCF +16.5

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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