December 18, 2013

Idaho Potato Bowl Pick: Buffalo vs. San Diego State

Saturday is the first day of the college football bowl season and one of the more intriguing bowl games of the day is the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl which features the Buffalo Bulls and the San Diego State Aztecs. The Aztecs will bring plenty of experience into this game as they will be playing in their fourth consecutive bowl game. Buffalo will just be making their second bowl appearance and will be eager to put their skills on display in a big bowl game.

Idaho Potato Bowl: Buffalo vs. San Diego State Preview

The college football bowl game odds opened with the Aztecs listed as (-3.5) point favorites. According to the college football sports betting consensus sites, the Aztecs are getting the majority of the betting action as over 64 percent of the early action is on San Diego State. Despite that action this point spread is fluctuating. It is important to shop around for this point spread as this game can be found as low as a pick ‘em at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.

Buffalo running back Branden Oliver had an extraordinary season, rushing for 1,421 yards and 15 touchdowns, but this team is all about defense. The Bulls rank tied for 27th nationally in scoring defense (22.3) and will get a big challenge against the Aztecs. San Diego State ranks 35th nationally in passing and have a solid passer in Quinn Kaehler who averaged a healthy 7.8 yards per attempt, with 17 touchdowns on the season. The key matchup in this game will be how that Bulls defense will deal with Kaehler and the rest of this offense.

The latest college football bowl game betting trends show that the Bulls are in a favorable spot. The Bulls are 7-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on field turf.

The Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game but struggle late in the season as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

Idaho Potato Bowl: Buffalo vs. San Diego State Pick

The 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and will enter this game with all of the momentum and the motivation. With a better defense and a desire to win, the Bulls will walk away with the big bowl win on Saturday.

Buffalo +3

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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