December 24, 2013

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green Pick

Christmas is over but there is still one last gift that has yet to be unwrapped. The holidays stay festive with not one, but two college football games for the day after Christmas. The first of this doubleheader features the Pittsburgh Panthers against the Bowling Green Falcons. The Panthers squeaked into the bowl game schedule with a six win season and will need a big effort to take down the Falcons in this big game.

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green Preview

The college football bowl odds for this game opened up with the Falcons listed as (-5.5) point favorites. The early college football consensus reveals that the Falcons are getting all of the action as over 74 percent of the wagers are on Bowling Green. Despite this influx of wagers the line has moved and can now be found at (-5) at several of the top rated online sportsbooks. This could be a strong indication that the smart money is backing the Panthers in this game.

The biggest issue will be the off the field changes for the Falcons who have lost their head coach. Bowling Green players found out officially Tuesday morning that Dave Clawson was leaving for Wake Forest. This week the Falcons’ offensive and defensive coordinators, Warren Ruggiero and Mike Elko, began recruiting for the Demon Deacons, while strength and conditioning coach Brandon Hourigan made plans to join the Wake Forest program. This is something that has to have an effect on this program.

The latest college football betting trends indicate that the Panthers could be a deadly underdog in this game. The Panthers are 37-16-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

However it should be noted that the Falcons also have some positive wagering angles in their favor. The Falcons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. Bowling Green Pick

The Panthers may not have a spectacular record but they match up well against a Bowling Green team that will be playing with little to no motivation. The Panthers keep this game close and have a great chance at pulling off the upset.

Pitt Panthers +5

The following two tabs change content below.

Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.