December 30, 2013

Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. LSU Preview and Pick

The LSU Tigers and head coach Les Miles is no stranger to big bowl games. They will play in another one on New Year’s Day as they go up against the Iowa Hawkeyes. This will be a different type of challenge for Miles as he has to watch over freshman quarterback Anthony Jennings who will make his first career start in replacing Zach Mettenberger. Starting is always pressure for a young signal caller, but it will get even worse when it is in a bowl game.

Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. LSU Preview

The college football bowl odds for this game opened up with the Tigers listed as (-8) point favorites. The injury has not seemed to alter the betting line or the public as over 76 percent of the wagering is coming in on the Tigers. The line has suddenly dropped to (-7) leading up to kickoff of the Outback Bowl so check the last point spread at several of the top rated online sportsbooks.

LSU is always a public betting favorite, but Iowa deserves a look. Iowa is riding a three-game winning streak including victories over Michigan and Nebraska and wound up second in the Big Ten’s Legends Division behind Rose Bowl-bound Michigan State. The college football betting trends indicate that this could be a struggle for Iowa in this game. The Hawkeyes are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

LSU will rely on rushing the ball to help their young quarterback. The Tigers averaged a potent 37 points with Mettenberger at the controls and their 200.8 rushing yards per game could be a big help to Jennings. Jeremy Hill ran for 1,185 yards and 14 touchdowns and will be the main cog to this offense. The Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Outback Bowl: Iowa vs. LSU Pick

LSU is going to take some time to gel on offense. The Hawkeyes boast the No. 7 defense in the country at 303.2 yards per game – 11th against the pass (182.4) and 17th versus the run (120.8). In big bowl games, the defense can make the difference and it does in this game as Iowa keeps it close.

Iowa +7

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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