December 24, 2013

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah State vs. Northern Illinois Pick

The day after Christmas Day still has plenty of reasons to celebrate as the college football schedule is offering up a doubleheader for all of the college football fans. The Utah State Aggies will go up against the Northern Illinois Huskies at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego California. The game will be very popular since it will take place at 9:30 at night and will be televised on ESPN.

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah State vs. Northern Illinois Preview

The college football bowl odds for this game opened up with Huskies listed as (-2.5) point favorites. This point spread is mainly due to the fact that the Huskies are currently ranked No. 24 in the college football rankings. This has caused the sports betting public to jump out on the Huskies as the latest sports betting consensus websites show that the over 74 percent of the early wagering is on Northern Illinois. Despite this early action the college football betting line has actually dropped and can now be found at (-1.5) at some of the top rated online sportsbooks on the internet.

The Huskies come into this game with Heisman candidate quarterback Jordan Lynch. He leads a very powerful offense. The Huskies average 41.6 points and 535.5 total yards with nearly 60 percent of the production (312.5) coming on the ground. They could have a tough time scoring against a demanding Aggies defense.

The Aggies are stout on defense, ranking seventh in scoring defense (17.3), 10th in rushing defense (107.3) and 12th in total defense (332.1) while featuring several standouts to include inside linebackers Jake Doughty (140 tackles, 10.5 for loss) and Zach Vigil (115 tackles, 12.5 for loss). The college football betting trends for this game also reveal some very interesting wagering angles.

The Aggies are 17-5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 23 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Huskies do not have the same glowing trends backing them in this bowl game.

The Huskies are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in December.

Poinsettia Bowl: Utah State vs. Northern Illinois Pick

This betting line is low for a reason. The Aggies do not get a lot of credit for how good they actually are. The Huskies will have letdown for missing a potential BCS appearance and the Aggies will steal the victory.

Utah State +1.5